Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002915 0.003047 0.003181 0.003328 0.003485 0.003647 0.003827
2025-02-16 0.002666 0.002865 0.003076 0.003315 0.003581 0.003867 0.004202
2025-02-23 0.002499 0.002735 0.002991 0.003291 0.003633 0.004014 0.004473
2025-03-02 0.002406 0.002673 0.002969 0.003323 0.003738 0.004212 0.004799
2025-03-09 0.002302 0.002589 0.002913 0.003307 0.003779 0.004329 0.005029
2025-03-16 0.002209 0.002511 0.002856 0.003284 0.003804 0.004425 0.005230
2025-03-23 0.002114 0.002425 0.002785 0.003237 0.003796 0.004474 0.005372
2025-03-30 0.002032 0.002350 0.002722 0.003196 0.003790 0.004523 0.005511
2025-04-06 0.001980 0.002308 0.002697 0.003198 0.003837 0.004636 0.005737
2025-04-13 0.001881 0.002206 0.002594 0.003098 0.003748 0.004572 0.005722
2025-04-20 0.001841 0.002174 0.002576 0.003104 0.003793 0.004680 0.005941
2025-04-27 0.001824 0.002169 0.002591 0.003152 0.003894 0.004864 0.006270
2025-05-04 0.001767 0.002114 0.002540 0.003114 0.003881 0.004897 0.006393
2025-05-11 0.001724 0.002075 0.002511 0.003102 0.003902 0.004978 0.006586
2025-05-18 0.001680 0.002033 0.002475 0.003080 0.003908 0.005035 0.006747
2025-05-25 0.001660 0.002022 0.002478 0.003110 0.003985 0.005194 0.007064
2025-06-01 0.001624 0.001987 0.002450 0.003095 0.003999 0.005263 0.007249
2025-06-08 0.001586 0.001951 0.002417 0.003074 0.004002 0.005315 0.007409
2025-06-15 0.001542 0.001904 0.002370 0.003031 0.003972 0.005318 0.007491
2025-06-22 0.001502 0.001862 0.002328 0.002993 0.003949 0.005329 0.007585
2025-06-29 0.001480 0.001842 0.002315 0.002996 0.003983 0.005425 0.007820
2025-07-06 0.001423 0.001776 0.002237 0.002904 0.003877 0.005306 0.007699
2025-07-13 0.001404 0.001759 0.002228 0.002909 0.003913 0.005405 0.007939